PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa037d9Ae501a6830a8F37610e6baC4B721672fB3-1777131682067

0xa037d9ae501a6830a8f37610e6bac4b721672fb3

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$29.2k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$190.14

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8640.945$58.97+$5.05
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1500.440$43.95+$28.95
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.1900.134$40.20−$16.80
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3030.255$23.53−$4.47
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4100.235$23.50−$17.50
Will Türkiye be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June? · No0.6000.000$0.00−$100.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? · Yes0.5230.000$0.00−$157.00
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$4.70
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3760.000$0.00−$37.60
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$25.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No0.7820.000$0.00−$274.57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$28.00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00−$52.00
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September? · Yes0.6950.000$0.00−$139.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 05:10Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3099999954$10.00
10-07 16:58Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.027$2.70
09-26 07:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.77$7.74
09-14 17:022026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.87$171.91
09-14 04:52Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.28$26.83
09-11 05:44Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?BUY0.77$53.90
09-09 20:05Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September?BUY0.7$70.00
09-09 20:042026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.88$211.20
09-08 21:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.77$48.33
09-08 21:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.766$16.29
09-08 08:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.49$49.00
09-08 08:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.51$22.21
09-05 08:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?BUY0.66$66.00
09-01 09:35Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September?BUY0.78$62.40
08-14 07:242026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.87$87.00