wenzhui
0xa02ea059f60920c4046e17033872215d44d77e84
- Realised P&L
- $193.21
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $119.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.038 | $58.31 | −$217.78 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.029 | $44.50 | −$179.35 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.640 | 0.685 | $14.52 | +$0.95 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.021 | $2.15 | −$1.45 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? · No | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.36at 0.140Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$53.11at 0.062Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$38.30at 0.919Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$35.00at 0.500Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$33.95at 0.359Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 04:21 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.56 |
| 10-16 04:20 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 10-16 04:20 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 10-16 04:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $7.50 |
| 10-16 04:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.077 | $27.04 |
| 10-16 04:18 | Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.980595 | $29.42 |
| 10-16 04:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $2.04 |
| 10-16 04:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.043 | $4.30 |
| 10-16 04:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.48 |
| 08-19 01:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $3.60 |
| 08-19 01:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 08-19 01:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 08-19 01:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.402 | $8.04 |
| 08-18 06:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 08-18 06:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |