PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9ab3

0xa02e87f11ffa6d61d9c1083e44f3ae1718758a3f

Realised P&L
$36.76
Volume
$43.9k
Markets traded
150
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded150
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9480.726$765.45−$234.55
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No0.8190.820$500.78+$0.78
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.9340.905$484.33−$15.67
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9200.945$205.43+$5.43
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.9550.951$199.16−$0.84
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 1? · No0.9930.999$106.58+$0.58
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31? · No0.8800.810$92.05−$7.95
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? · No0.3930.844$21.50+$11.50
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? · No0.9470.967$20.42+$0.42
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · No0.6470.660$19.92+$0.38
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1? · No0.8430.840$10.95−$0.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 1? · No0.9301.000$10.75+$0.75
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9580.980$10.22+$0.22
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9640.981$10.18+$0.18
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.9500.967$10.17+$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:22Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 1?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
11-02 00:22Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
11-01 20:32US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?BUY0.9659999994$10.00
11-01 20:30Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1?BUY0.8399999933$10.00
11-01 20:30Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 1?BUY0.9299999284$10.00
11-01 10:57Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 1?BUY0.9931100416$106.00
10-31 20:10Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.021$11.41
10-31 20:09Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.828$92.72
10-31 20:09Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.408$10.36
10-31 11:37US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?BUY0.9284153817$10.00
10-31 11:37US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.9805292024$10.00
10-31 11:36US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9768534669$100.00
10-31 10:44Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?BUY0.994$200.00
10-30 23:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.8499999915$10.00
10-30 23:47Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.9199999963$10.00