0x9ab3
0xa02e87f11ffa6d61d9c1083e44f3ae1718758a3f
- Realised P&L
- $36.76
- Volume
- $43.9k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$180.37at 0.817LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$114.77at 0.994Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?
- +$103.53at 0.990LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$69.75at 0.603LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?
- +$40.17at 0.964Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 00:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:32 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.9659999994 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.9299999284 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 10:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.9931100416 | $106.00 |
| 10-31 20:10 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.021 | $11.41 |
| 10-31 20:09 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.828 | $92.72 |
| 10-31 20:09 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.408 | $10.36 |
| 10-31 11:37 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.9284153817 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 11:37 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.9805292024 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 11:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9768534669 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 10:44 | Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $200.00 |
| 10-30 23:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 23:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |