uga2vegas
0xa027163ed0706de97c29b372c2560713907d2ba9
- Realised P&L
- $-215.13
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $49.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.858 | 0.155 | $18.07 | −$81.93 |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.548 | 0.087 | $15.87 | −$84.13 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.077 | $7.75 | −$8.65 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.546 | 0.080 | $5.05 | −$29.44 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.346 | 0.067 | $2.33 | −$9.78 |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.83at 0.530Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5
- +$59.69at 0.602Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$26.92at 0.650Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$12.05at 0.390Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
- +$9.99at 0.801Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 17:58 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.59 | $88.50 |
| 03-16 02:42 | Ethereum flipped in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 03-16 02:38 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.73 | $16.59 |
| 03-08 04:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | BUY | 0.2295 | $22.95 |
| 02-09 02:04 | Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5 | SELL | 0.96 | $452.82 |
| 02-08 22:39 | Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.5299999992 | $250.00 |
| 02-08 22:38 | Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 01-22 23:39 | Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8579340943 | $100.00 |
| 01-22 23:36 | Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5481172157 | $100.00 |
| 01-22 23:35 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.881 | $109.98 |
| 01-22 23:34 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | SELL | 0.86 | $22.05 |
| 12-21 06:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999987 | $50.00 |
| 12-21 06:22 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8009999988 | $100.00 |
| 12-21 06:21 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 12-21 06:19 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |