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0xa01fb91d67683fc280b6d585da56c804e2fa1a7a
- Realised P&L
- $1.98
- Volume
- $711.19
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $11.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $11.09 | −$0.01 |
| Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.65at 0.992Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.32at 0.996Will "Skyscraper Live" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
- +$0.32at 0.996Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.30at 0.996Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)
- +$0.13at 0.998Will "Star Search" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 01:50 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26? | BUY | 0.9989999201 | $11.10 |
| 08-26 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on August 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.50 |
| 08-09 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.70 |
| 07-29 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on July 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.50 |
| 07-12 01:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on July 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.30 |
| 07-03 06:40 | Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.990999999 | $5.70 |
| 06-22 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.9979999413 | $15.00 |
| 05-27 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on May 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.80 |
| 05-18 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.70 |
| 05-07 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on May 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.00 |
| 04-19 12:30 | Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9915686688 | $79.93 |
| 04-01 01:10 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.9989999878 | $76.00 |
| 03-20 02:46 | Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 03-10 02:39 | Will "Nuremberg" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 03-01 03:19 | Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.996 | $80.00 |