elemzo
0xa0195004a0eb0aef474870941cbe1d188b83c220
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $284.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,382
- Open portfolio
- $759.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,382
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.290 | $301.11 | +$252.42 |
| Will FURIA Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.135 | $181.48 | +$118.67 |
| Will Natus Vincere Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.100 | $134.43 | +$71.62 |
| Will Aurora Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.065 | $87.38 | +$24.57 |
| Will MIBR Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.024 | $31.59 | −$31.22 |
| Will magic Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.012 | $16.13 | −$46.67 |
| Will NRG Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.004 | $5.38 | −$57.43 |
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins · Hanwha Eagles | 0.460 | 0.244 | $2.44 | −$2.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.285Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?
- +$1.3kat 0.292Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
- +$651.80at 0.335Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?
- +$622.38at 0.611Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$462.08at 0.240Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:14 | Will Vitality Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $605.33 |
| 09-16 20:11 | Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $85.68 |
| 09-16 20:07 | Will Vitality Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $183.60 |
| 08-28 17:12 | Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3508829844 | $14.14 |
| 08-28 12:10 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.26 | $13.50 |
| 08-28 06:22 | Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.99 |
| 08-25 18:43 | Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999986 | $47.33 |
| 08-22 17:02 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.379999985 | $14.72 |
| 08-20 12:23 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.24 | $30.60 |
| 08-20 11:05 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 08-18 21:19 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.7699999975 | $40.37 |
| 08-16 21:07 | Will MOUZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026? | BUY | 0.0695326333 | $20.86 |
| 08-12 18:24 | Will FURIA Esports win the EWC club championship? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 08-12 17:31 | Will 9z win the EWC club championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 08-12 17:22 | Will Team Spirit win the EWC club championship? | SELL | 0.11 | $25.08 |