Rekviem
0xa016a9e1e7ab646000477e5f6aac46dab6eaf731
- Realised P&L
- $-81.34
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $5.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.31at 0.380Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?
- +$8.11at 0.270Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 9?
- +$6.00at 0.400Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 30?
- +$4.00at 0.600Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 10?
- +$3.62at 0.580Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 18:51 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 07:10 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0229999956 | $4.99 |
| 04-10 06:17 | Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 04-09 13:04 | OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4619880366 | $26.26 |
| 04-09 06:16 | OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.819999977 | $14.61 |
| 04-09 06:16 | OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $4.48 |
| 04-06 03:51 | OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.759999998 | $28.96 |
| 03-17 17:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18? | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $4.85 |
| 03-04 18:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5? | BUY | 0.3009999597 | $4.00 |
| 01-25 01:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25? | BUY | 0.9269999949 | $4.00 |
| 01-09 14:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 9? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 01-08 10:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 01-01 06:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1? | BUY | 0.3699999695 | $4.00 |
| 12-31 07:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 12-30 09:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |