fg65h156f
0xa013a36938ccf9afe7e91c807223181b819504d7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $379.9k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $1.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.485 | $1.94 | −$0.34 |
| Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.11 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? · Up | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$193.80at 0.704Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?
- +$118.50at 0.500Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?
- +$72.06at 0.635Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$8.54at 0.073Will Malvinas Gaming win LRS 2026 Split 1?
- +$2.91at 0.987Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 15:54 | Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? | SELL | 0.44 | $5.28 |
| 05-16 15:54 | NBA: SGA Award Parlay | SELL | 0.54 | $7.61 |
| 05-16 15:53 | Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $21.5B? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 05-16 15:53 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.943 | $18.86 |
| 05-16 10:24 | First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 05-16 10:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 05-16 10:23 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $11.81 |
| 05-16 07:19 | Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 07:18 | Ebola emergency by June 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 05-16 07:18 | Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? | SELL | 0.16692 | $3.34 |
| 05-16 07:18 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30? | SELL | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 05-16 07:18 | Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 05-16 07:18 | Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200? | SELL | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 05-16 07:17 | Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | SELL | 0.862 | $17.22 |
| 05-16 07:17 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $18.40 |