0xa01232bcda4338f901c6b0cfff0d8f2ecaad1c47
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $8.12
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.75at 0.064Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$31.91at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$25.96at 0.039Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?
- +$13.31at 0.038Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET
- +$13.29at 0.070US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 22:18 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 22:18 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0081781008 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 22:17 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:17 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:17 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:16 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0011974112 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 15:33 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.0462295075 | $3.00 |
| 09-05 14:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 21:33 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 21:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.0281766069 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 21:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.0180000002 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 21:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 21:13 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.0120000001 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 21:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 21:05 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | BUY | 0.1603773346 | $5.00 |