0xA00E9762a1f9a9eD90cD9eB2e8C3E917727Ea473-1779434673731
0xa00e9762a1f9a9ed90cd9eb2e8c3e917727ea473
- Realised P&L
- $116.02
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $172.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.605 | $170.86 | +$100.53 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.011 | $1.36 | −$13.64 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.17 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$277.24 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$489.00at 0.514Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:01 | Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.249031544 | $90.00 |
| 07-14 19:25 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2569999948 | $30.00 |
| 06-17 16:45 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1156825606 | $15.00 |
| 06-17 16:44 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0449999986 | $30.00 |
| 06-17 16:44 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1794180997 | $37.00 |
| 06-03 07:54 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.096 | $120.00 |
| 06-02 16:09 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.096 | $120.00 |
| 05-28 17:42 | Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.5040229835 | $520.00 |