ZAAR
0xa00ca616c0be745f64c1683fdd3a32f106672b65
- Realised P&L
- $-232.60
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $144.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.925 | $78.63 | +$31.88 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.420 | $42.00 | +$21.00 |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.034 | $8.22 | −$15.96 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.034 | $4.69 | −$45.71 |
| Ledger IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.042 | $3.78 | −$45.72 |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.400 | $3.73 | +$0.47 |
| Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.064 | $3.17 | −$39.33 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.40at 0.175Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$59.61at 0.680Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$46.07at 0.684Solana all time high in Q4?
- +$32.00at 0.360Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$31.66at 0.470Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 13:07 | Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | SELL | 0.969 | $26.66 |
| 02-20 21:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | SELL | 0.19 | $38.00 |
| 12-28 14:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 12-28 14:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 12-28 14:12 | ETH flipped in 2025? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 12-28 14:12 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 05-22 14:48 | Solana ETF approved by July 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 03-12 09:44 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 03-12 09:44 | Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files? | SELL | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 03-12 09:44 | Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before April? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 03-12 09:43 | Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | SELL | 0.032 | $1.60 |
| 03-07 14:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31? | BUY | 0.016 | $5.12 |
| 02-28 21:51 | Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files? | SELL | 0.743 | $7.43 |
| 02-28 21:51 | Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files? | SELL | 0.818 | $16.36 |
| 02-28 21:50 | Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.30 |