PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ABCDEF1

0xa00c1c9d91ddedeadb82cf9697e4af6f47a37883

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$98.7k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2130.162$1.8k$569.42
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0490.060$1.1k+$196.91
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.013$625.00+$25.01
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$593.98
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$140.00
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5 · Under0.3100.000$0.00$20.00
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July? · No0.3300.000$0.00$202.78
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5980.000$0.00$53.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 09:30Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.214$22.25
08-18 09:02Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?SELL0.24$5.16
08-17 21:51Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.012$600.00
08-17 21:50Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.049$740.47
08-17 21:48Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?SELL0.26$13.25
06-24 18:15Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5BUY0.3099999895$20.00
04-08 06:09Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.0476123011$140.00
04-05 15:39Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.2134899387$2.4k
10-09 07:49Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?BUY0.059$299.72
10-09 07:47Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?BUY0.058$101.71
10-09 07:43Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?BUY0.057$34.26
10-05 17:34Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?BUY0.046$97.00
11-25 07:26Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?BUY0.045$0.06
11-24 15:34Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.5983333333$53.85
11-24 14:43Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?BUY0.038$0.19