0x9fff08b79b56ec2562eb0cb923c731b168da5b1b
- Realised P&L
- $-101.24
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $14.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.015 | $5.43 | −$4.57 |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.015 | $5.18 | −$4.82 |
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.007 | $3.50 | −$6.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.01at 0.757Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
- +$10.29at 0.776Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$8.28at 0.776Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1PM ET
- +$4.81at 0.804Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
- +$4.00at 0.652Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 03:26 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0599999972 | $20.00 |
| 06-29 19:59 | Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0649999917 | $7.00 |
| 06-10 17:44 | Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 17:42 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1059999954 | $20.00 |
| 06-06 08:41 | Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | BUY | 0.8109999876 | $12.00 |
| 06-05 21:31 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0279999972 | $10.00 |
| 06-05 21:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0266952181 | $10.00 |
| 06-05 21:30 | Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 20:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $58.89 |
| 06-04 20:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999991 | $35.00 |
| 06-04 19:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999984 | $36.59 |
| 06-04 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999968 | $28.17 |
| 06-03 05:29 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.7670002593 | $29.58 |
| 06-01 13:14 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.64 | $24.69 |
| 06-01 12:55 | Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.30 |