PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

absolutenoidea

0x9feda0d624e5c4ba3fc119245aff786c630c6ffb

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$116.2k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6200.815$815.00+$195.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.945$701.63+$137.36
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3900.049$239.92$1.7k
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8400.190$10.69$36.56
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$127.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$390.00
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$101.26
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 · Under0.2600.000$0.00$129.99
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$235.00
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00$37.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 20:40Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5SELL0.565$39.55
06-14 18:41Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.999$129.87
06-12 20:51Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5BUY0.74$207.20
01-05 15:53Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.39$1.9k
01-03 21:19Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?SELL0.74$370.00
12-30 10:57US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?SELL0.9586851667$287.61
12-16 18:14Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.995$895.51
12-16 18:14Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.995$99.50
12-15 15:08Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.995$2.0k
12-15 15:03Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.996$298.80
12-15 14:54Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.996$99.60
12-15 14:54Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.996$99.60
12-09 13:41Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?BUY0.9732102118$1.7k
12-08 20:42Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.63$18.28
12-08 17:53Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY0.86$430.00