Abandoned-Property
0x9feaa936b71de14071d4b2d4431a8dc903f17375
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $123.2k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $196.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.004 | $159.12 | −$548.86 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.011 | $37.09 | −$63.03 |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$416.98at 0.662Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$360.66at 0.610Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$322.14at 0.623Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$248.52at 0.056Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$240.00at 0.520US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 14:44 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.1384968162 | $74.17 |
| 06-22 00:52 | Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.169999995 | $25.00 |
| 06-21 22:01 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.1 | $25.00 |
| 06-05 13:24 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL | 0.9665565 | $483.28 |
| 05-28 20:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.4k |
| 04-13 14:26 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0135165969 | $300.00 |
| 03-31 20:01 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.57 | $285.00 |
| 03-25 23:07 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $600.00 |
| 03-24 21:05 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $228.77 |
| 03-23 12:26 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $200.00 |
| 03-19 13:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.6099999999 | $1000.00 |
| 03-16 13:23 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $291.16 |
| 02-28 19:28 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.4049492792 | $200.00 |
| 02-27 17:42 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $260.00 |
| 02-11 13:58 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0175872442 | $78.24 |