PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Abandoned-Property

0x9feaa936b71de14071d4b2d4431a8dc903f17375

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$123.2k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$196.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.004$159.12$548.86
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0310.011$37.09$63.03
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$25.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$200.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 14:44Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.1384968162$74.17
06-22 00:52Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.169999995$25.00
06-21 22:01Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.1$25.00
06-05 13:24Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?SELL0.9665565$483.28
05-28 20:15Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.83$1.4k
04-13 14:26Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0135165969$300.00
03-31 20:01US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.57$285.00
03-25 23:07US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.6$600.00
03-24 21:05Iran Nuke before 2027?SELL0.11$228.77
03-23 12:26Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.32$200.00
03-19 13:15Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.6099999999$1000.00
03-16 13:23Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.14$291.16
02-28 19:28Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.4049492792$200.00
02-27 17:42US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?BUY0.52$260.00
02-11 13:58Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0175872442$78.24