PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lbradford

0x9fe8ac666820cf29445077562c25508bfa0db74a

Realised P&L
$-44.51
Volume
$24.6k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$4.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.5600.515$4.66$0.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:52Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.994$13.18
01-30 16:39Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?BUY0.999$8.25
01-30 16:03Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.999$10.21
01-30 12:03Will Solana dip to $70 in January?BUY0.999$11.90
01-30 12:01Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of January 2026?BUY0.999$67.71
12-30 10:50Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?BUY0.999$5.32
12-30 09:42Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?BUY0.998$9.12
12-30 00:23US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY0.9979999556$15.30
12-29 21:48Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?BUY0.9979999693$23.77
12-29 21:22Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?BUY0.9989999873$51.30
10-31 15:03Will Solana dip to $150 in October?BUY0.999$15.92
10-30 17:58Will Meta have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$26.50
09-29 16:44Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?BUY0.999$11.37
09-29 14:12Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?BUY0.999$10.41
09-29 05:36Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?BUY0.999$12.19