lbradford
0x9fe8ac666820cf29445077562c25508bfa0db74a
- Realised P&L
- $-44.51
- Volume
- $24.6k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $4.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.515 | $4.66 | −$0.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.06at 0.580Yoon arrested by January 31?
- +$4.89at 0.830Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
- +$1.70at 0.995Will Lando Norris win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
- +$0.87at 0.508Will Josh Allen be the top Fantasy Quarterback?
- +$0.37at 0.989Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:52 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.994 | $13.18 |
| 01-30 16:39 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.25 |
| 01-30 16:03 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.21 |
| 01-30 12:03 | Will Solana dip to $70 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.90 |
| 01-30 12:01 | Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.71 |
| 12-30 10:50 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.32 |
| 12-30 09:42 | Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.12 |
| 12-30 00:23 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999556 | $15.30 |
| 12-29 21:48 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999693 | $23.77 |
| 12-29 21:22 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999873 | $51.30 |
| 10-31 15:03 | Will Solana dip to $150 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.92 |
| 10-30 17:58 | Will Meta have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.50 |
| 09-29 16:44 | Will XRP reach $4.50 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.37 |
| 09-29 14:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.41 |
| 09-29 05:36 | Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.19 |