yuhe21
0x9fdc83bef30a4d0dcb44b89ae78afdebdf626ded
- Realised P&L
- $-212.45
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $26.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $150 in August? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $5.28 | −$0.00 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.995 | 0.998 | $5.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.993 | 0.998 | $4.93 | +$0.02 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.992 | 0.992 | $4.40 | −$0.00 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.988 | 0.995 | $4.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.986 | 0.994 | $3.02 | +$0.02 |
| Bucks vs. Nuggets · Bucks | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$207.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.994Will Solana dip to $40 February 16-22?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will Solana dip to $40 in February?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of Solana be above $110 on March 5?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 4?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:22 | Will Solana reach $150 in August? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.28 |
| 07-15 04:14 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 07-02 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.29 |
| 06-18 10:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.19 |
| 06-02 11:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 05-15 08:31 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.09 |
| 05-05 08:50 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 05-05 08:49 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 08:49 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.992 | $5.09 |
| 04-25 07:24 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on April 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 04-09 12:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 04-01 04:33 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 03-13 07:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 03-13 07:13 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.40 |
| 03-05 01:14 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on March 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |