908240
0x9fd969c7f0df42fc520f677d028c47fc06e70bf1
- Realised P&L
- $91.02
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $695.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.24at 0.245Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- +$41.42at 0.880Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- +$40.80at 0.884Seahawks vs. Broncos
- +$21.39at 0.596Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
- +$17.57at 0.945Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 03:15 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.3699999979 | $43.78 |
| 10-18 03:14 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.511089206 | $46.92 |
| 10-18 00:57 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.3548874084 | $21.22 |
| 10-18 00:57 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $20.98 |
| 10-18 00:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.21 |
| 10-17 15:06 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.72 |
| 10-17 15:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.86 | $26.67 |
| 10-17 10:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8699999987 | $26.98 |
| 10-17 10:56 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2069999989 | $20.00 |
| 10-17 10:56 | Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.96 | $52.00 |
| 10-17 10:29 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8599999781 | $22.00 |
| 10-17 10:29 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5445544544 | $50.00 |
| 10-17 10:26 | Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $90.00 |
| 10-17 10:25 | Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9437086092 | $90.00 |
| 10-17 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |