PolyBot

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Traders

liIypad

0x9fd8e3b55fc2bdab22fcd49f5a7696d501ce01f0

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$259.3k
Markets traded
571
Open portfolio
$156.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded571
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8200.775$124.90−$7.25
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5970.160$31.68−$86.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.5460.000$0.00−$15.07
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$1.07
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00−$11.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$8.14
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00−$22.78
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$14.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00−$80.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Up0.3730.000$0.00−$229.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.0780.000$0.00−$4.45
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$12.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 14:57France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5972745765$118.27
10-18 14:56Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.77$119.23
09-10 18:29Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$2.82
09-08 15:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.1799999999$100.00
09-08 15:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.0754716981$10.00
09-08 15:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSELL0.1879953976$7.35
09-08 15:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSELL0.2235294118$57.00
09-08 15:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.1699999995$50.00
09-08 15:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSELL0.24$114.29
09-08 15:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.2099999996$100.00
09-08 15:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETSELL0.0438930426$7.69
09-08 15:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.04$10.00
09-08 15:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.2673267313$50.00
09-08 14:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETSELL0.6$80.79
09-08 14:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.3713113145$50.00