liIypad
0x9fd8e3b55fc2bdab22fcd49f5a7696d501ce01f0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $259.3k
- Markets traded
- 571
- Open portfolio
- $156.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded571
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$671.66at 0.737US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$354.90at 0.485Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?
- +$316.90at 0.095Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
- +$298.47at 0.970U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?
- +$170.60at 0.746Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 14:57 | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5972745765 | $118.27 |
| 10-18 14:56 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.77 | $119.23 |
| 09-10 18:29 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.82 |
| 09-08 15:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 15:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0754716981 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | SELL | 0.1879953976 | $7.35 |
| 09-08 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | SELL | 0.2235294118 | $57.00 |
| 09-08 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $114.29 |
| 09-08 15:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 15:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | SELL | 0.0438930426 | $7.69 |
| 09-08 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2673267313 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 14:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $80.79 |
| 09-08 14:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3713113145 | $50.00 |