heishili
0x9fd85e551ad86827ada5dc108d04201b26a6d91a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.78
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $13.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.996 | $13.96 | −$0.04 |
| Packers vs. Lions · Lions | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.64at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$41.12at 0.750Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$39.63at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
- +$3.72at 0.530Red Wings vs. Blue Jackets
- +$2.01at 0.974Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 11:51 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150? | BUY | 0.9989999297 | $14.00 |
| 08-26 15:01 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.00 |
| 07-24 14:21 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.00 |
| 06-05 07:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.00 |
| 05-28 07:25 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.00 |
| 05-25 08:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.79 |
| 05-17 06:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.00 |
| 05-15 11:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15? | BUY | 0.9989999888 | $82.00 |
| 05-10 06:25 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.00 |
| 05-05 07:51 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.00 |
| 04-23 10:56 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.03 |
| 04-23 10:56 | Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.998000008 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 10:56 | Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.23 |
| 04-23 10:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 10:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.14 |