hardinrebecca
0x9fcfbaba2fab44b56098f49fb74160b8b0510f58
- Realised P&L
- $37.21
- Volume
- $21.5k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $34.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.605 | $19.12 | −$0.16 |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria · Lucio Ratti | 0.540 | 0.525 | $15.04 | −$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.91at 0.510Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18?
- +$26.67at 0.698Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$3.12at 0.360Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
- +$2.54at 0.999Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?
- +$0.89at 0.656Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:29 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.50 |
| 01-30 14:33 | Will Chainlink hit $19 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.12 |
| 01-30 14:25 | Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.20 |
| 01-30 14:11 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.25 |
| 01-30 13:17 | Will Solana reach $150 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.88 |
| 12-30 01:33 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999333 | $8.59 |
| 12-30 00:30 | Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $6.13 |
| 12-30 00:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.48 |
| 12-29 22:12 | Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.49 |
| 10-30 23:07 | Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October? | BUY | 0.9929999924 | $16.21 |
| 10-30 22:17 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.98 |
| 10-30 19:29 | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.99 |
| 09-29 09:56 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $16.42 |
| 09-28 21:44 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $18.29 |
| 09-28 20:44 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.97 | $15.75 |