PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hardinrebecca

0x9fcfbaba2fab44b56098f49fb74160b8b0510f58

Realised P&L
$37.21
Volume
$21.5k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$34.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration95.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 22? · Yes0.6100.605$19.12$0.16
Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria · Lucio Ratti0.5400.525$15.04$0.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:29Will BNB dip to $700 in January?BUY0.999$11.50
01-30 14:33Will Chainlink hit $19 in January?BUY0.995$5.12
01-30 14:25Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January?BUY0.999$11.20
01-30 14:11Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?BUY0.998$8.25
01-30 13:17Will Solana reach $150 in January?BUY0.999$30.88
12-30 01:33Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?BUY0.9979999333$8.59
12-30 00:30Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.9969999998$6.13
12-30 00:06Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$26.48
12-29 22:12Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?BUY0.998$20.49
10-30 23:07Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?BUY0.9929999924$16.21
10-30 22:17Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.996$14.98
10-30 19:29Ethereum all time high by October 31?BUY0.998$13.99
09-29 09:56Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.9969999999$16.42
09-28 21:44Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.997$18.29
09-28 20:44Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.97$15.75