Florafghn
0x9fc943009e5de37fb40af416ace10270f470de9a
- Realised P&L
- $-5.61
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $45.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Sam Houston (-17.5) · Sam Houston | 0.560 | 0.590 | $31.27 | +$1.59 |
| KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers · Samsung Lions | 0.600 | 0.498 | $14.64 | −$3.00 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.78 |
| Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.12 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.91 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.20 |
| Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$358.56at 0.500Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$126.22at 0.500Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
- +$123.90at 0.500Will Han Duck-soo win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
- +$37.35at 0.500Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$32.36at 0.500Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 09:41 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $49.95 |
| 09-19 09:40 | Spread: Sam Houston (-17.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $29.68 |
| 09-19 09:39 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 02:24 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) | BUY | 0.62 | $26.04 |
| 08-25 11:13 | Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.54 | $15.12 |
| 08-22 06:18 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $64.87 |
| 08-22 06:18 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 08-22 06:18 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.3 | $19.20 |
| 08-07 03:47 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.5 | $29.50 |
| 07-15 05:51 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.37 | $9.99 |
| 07-07 07:32 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.91 |
| 06-12 06:47 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.52 | $16.12 |
| 05-27 02:47 | Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $23.95 |
| 05-27 02:47 | KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers | BUY | 0.6 | $17.63 |
| 05-27 02:43 | Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |