PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

prob1

0x9fbfe50bf171adaa347a5cb2b789b4a6e12ef003

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$442.9k
Markets traded
40,840
Open portfolio
$184.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded40,840
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? · Yes0.6241.000$13.38+$5.02
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4? · Yes0.4880.970$12.99+$6.45
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 4? · Yes0.4570.800$10.71+$4.59
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? · Yes0.5260.710$9.51+$2.47
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? · Yes0.5320.700$9.37+$2.25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 4? · Yes0.5230.695$9.30+$2.30
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4? · Yes0.4840.675$9.04+$2.55
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 4? · Yes0.5210.625$8.37+$1.39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4? · Yes0.4801.000$8.30+$4.31
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4? · Yes0.5200.540$7.23+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4? · Yes0.5170.520$6.96+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? · Yes0.4790.420$5.62$0.80
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4? · Yes0.4800.675$5.60+$1.62
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? · Yes0.5500.525$4.36$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 5? · Yes0.4700.450$3.73$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 19:00Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETSELL0.01$0.03
08-04 18:59XRP Up or Down - August 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETSELL0.01$0.03
08-04 18:59Solana Up or Down - August 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.75$1.80
08-04 18:56Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.72$1.80
08-04 18:55XRP Up or Down - August 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.6599999267$1.80
08-04 18:53Solana Up or Down - August 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.7099999606$1.80
08-04 18:52Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.6499999278$1.80
08-04 18:50XRP Up or Down - August 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.6599999267$1.80
08-04 18:26Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.6299999717$1.56
08-04 18:25XRP Up or Down - August 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.6599999577$1.56
08-04 18:25Solana Up or Down - August 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.7199996308$1.56
08-04 18:20Solana Up or Down - August 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.7299999452$1.20
08-04 18:20Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.7099998402$1.20
08-04 18:20XRP Up or Down - August 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.6899999942$1.20
08-04 18:14Solana Up or Down - August 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSELL0.01$0.02