PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

prob1

0x9fbfe50bf171adaa347a5cb2b789b4a6e12ef003

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$578.7k
Markets traded
49,657
Open portfolio
$217.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded49,657
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18? · Yes0.4401.000$16.69+$9.34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18? · Yes0.5000.985$16.45+$8.10
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19? · Yes0.4790.640$14.48+$3.65
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.5090.660$14.38+$3.29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18? · Yes0.5771.000$13.38+$5.66
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 18? · Yes0.5461.000$13.38+$6.08
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 19? · Yes0.4600.615$12.30+$3.10
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 19? · Yes0.5300.615$12.30+$1.70
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19? · Yes0.4500.555$11.10+$2.10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19? · Yes0.4600.525$10.50+$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.4800.520$10.40+$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? · Yes0.4900.435$8.70$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 19? · Yes0.4800.405$8.10$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 19? · Yes0.5400.370$7.40$3.40
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 19? · Yes0.4400.370$7.40$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 21:02Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 19?BUY0.65$3.31
09-18 15:02Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.49$9.80
09-18 15:02Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.67$3.41
09-18 12:02Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?BUY0.6$3.05
09-18 06:02Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.46$9.20
09-18 05:02Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18?BUY0.63$3.21
09-18 05:02Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 19?BUY0.44$8.80
09-18 04:02Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?BUY0.46$9.20
09-18 04:02Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?BUY0.56$2.85
09-18 04:02Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18?BUY0.64$3.26
09-17 23:02Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.45$9.00
09-17 23:02Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.62$3.16
09-17 22:02Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.68$3.46
09-17 22:02Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.53$10.60
09-17 22:02Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.62$3.16