prob1
0x9fbfe50bf171adaa347a5cb2b789b4a6e12ef003
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $578.7k
- Markets traded
- 49,657
- Open portfolio
- $217.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded49,657
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.98at 0.893Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 11?
- +$64.52at 0.799Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 24?
- +$54.64at 0.823Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 22?
- +$50.46at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or below on April 15?
- +$48.82at 0.170Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.31 |
| 09-18 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 09-18 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.41 |
| 09-18 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.05 |
| 09-18 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 09-18 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.21 |
| 09-18 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 09-18 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 09-18 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.85 |
| 09-18 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.26 |
| 09-17 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 09-17 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.16 |
| 09-17 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.46 |
| 09-17 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 09-17 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.16 |