kimochi.88
0x9fbaf23f5720be5bc346546bf87aaff5e0a73adc
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $161.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,673
- Open portfolio
- $15.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,673
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.91at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 9?
- +$49.88at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 26?
- +$49.84at 0.014Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?
- +$49.30at 0.003Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 23?
- +$46.55at 0.022Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.086 | $0.86 |
| 08-05 08:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 08-05 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 08-05 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.12955 | $1.30 |
| 08-05 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-05 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 08-05 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.54 |
| 08-05 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 08-05 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 08-05 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 08-05 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 08-05 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.03 |
| 08-05 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 08-05 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.068 | $1.02 |
| 08-05 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.268 | $2.68 |