kimochi.88
0x9fbaf23f5720be5bc346546bf87aaff5e0a73adc
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $207.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,369
- Open portfolio
- $2.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,369
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.92at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 9?
- +$51.93at 0.131Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?
- +$49.88at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 26?
- +$49.45at 0.014Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?
- +$49.30at 0.003Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-20 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-20 14:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 09-20 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 09-20 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 09-20 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 09-20 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 09-20 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.4181 | $4.18 |
| 09-20 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-20 13:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-20 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 09-20 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-20 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.47 | $1.72 |
| 09-20 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.70 |