deng06
0x9fb91d348438c3851e7ee301947e355ccf8d12a4
- Realised P&L
- $-9.52
- Volume
- $69.5k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $36.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 12-18? · No | 0.970 | 0.955 | $36.41 | −$0.59 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.18 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.49at 0.953Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 31-September 6?
- +$0.90at 0.110Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
- +$0.78at 0.978Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 17-23?
- +$0.65at 0.981Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$0.64at 0.972Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 09:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.97 | $37.00 |
| 10-11 04:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.992 | $36.70 |
| 10-10 15:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 10? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $37.00 |
| 10-09 15:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $37.00 |
| 10-08 15:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.987999999 | $36.00 |
| 10-08 03:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9968854253 | $36.00 |
| 10-07 15:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9909999859 | $36.00 |
| 10-06 16:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.00 |
| 10-05 15:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $35.00 |
| 10-04 08:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $34.30 |
| 10-03 02:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.985 | $34.48 |
| 10-01 14:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.977 | $34.20 |
| 10-01 14:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.992 | $32.74 |
| 09-28 05:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $32.01 |
| 09-28 01:55 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $33.00 |