Capybara5328ss
0x9fb43353a47d6108073d112d42263a2879cc400f
- Realised P&L
- $1.30
- Volume
- $139.9k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $3.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31? · No | 0.989 | 0.949 | $3.09 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.83at 0.746Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 10?
- +$0.53at 0.979State wide recount in Presidential Election?
- +$0.25at 0.939Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?
- +$0.17at 0.910Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?
- +$0.12at 0.968Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 01:59 | Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31? | BUY | 0.9889999991 | $3.22 |
| 09-11 01:58 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $3.70 |
| 07-28 08:18 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.9589999113 | $3.74 |
| 06-02 03:01 | Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.965999865 | $3.45 |
| 06-01 12:54 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.942 | $3.25 |
| 05-09 16:03 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9249999928 | $3.20 |
| 04-07 03:05 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 10? | BUY | 0.990255911 | $3.55 |
| 04-07 03:05 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.95 | $3.56 |
| 03-18 06:54 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9849999987 | $3.70 |
| 03-18 06:54 | Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $3.70 |
| 02-25 08:08 | Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31? | BUY | 0.9940000011 | $3.70 |
| 02-25 08:07 | Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025? | SELL | 0.98 | $3.70 |
| 01-10 03:33 | Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025? | BUY | 0.9539997452 | $3.61 |
| 12-17 00:56 | Will Trump end NASA in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.60 |
| 12-11 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 59-60°F on December 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.60 |