0x9FB0c41fCD13554e2220fd3AFA8a6B02b4443AA0-1782753383459
0x9fb0c41fcd13554e2220fd3afa8a6b02b4443aa0
- Realised P&L
- $605.87
- Volume
- $32.1k
- Markets traded
- 529
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded529
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$126.13at 0.328Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?
- +$114.75at 0.206Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 2?
- +$78.04at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 4?
- +$58.79at 0.724Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 31?
- +$49.03at 0.427Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.91 |
| 10-16 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $68.26 |
| 10-16 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 10-16 20:56 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 10-16 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.33 |
| 10-16 20:45 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 16? | BUY | 0.88 | $9.61 |
| 10-16 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.998 | $40.47 |
| 10-16 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.7792492712 | $31.60 |
| 10-16 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.54 |
| 10-16 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $71.62 |
| 10-16 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.55 |
| 10-16 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $56.89 |
| 10-16 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.9605 | $9.61 |
| 10-16 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.9735216187 | $45.71 |
| 10-16 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $60.94 |