nicebrain
0x9faf610d6b1aa62efa86522afdeb4b6c11de4138
- Realised P&L
- $-31.39
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $79.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.245 | $24.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.094 | $23.48 | −$3.56 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.840 | $16.80 | +$8.80 |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.145 | $6.96 | −$0.24 |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.037 | $3.90 | −$6.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.175 | $1.75 | +$0.05 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.059 | $1.66 | −$2.45 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.047 | $0.13 | −$0.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12? · No | 0.178 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.29 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 9? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 10? · No | 0.436 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$116.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.74at 0.879LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
- +$112.00at 0.627LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner
- +$48.52at 0.902LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$23.02at 0.364Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
- +$15.52at 0.845Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 02:44 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.124 | $6.20 |
| 09-14 02:44 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.124 | $6.20 |
| 09-13 07:24 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.20 |
| 09-07 15:57 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.085634748 | $4.35 |
| 09-07 12:57 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1039999829 | $5.10 |
| 09-07 12:56 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.104 | $5.20 |
| 09-06 10:27 | Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0390665058 | $2.00 |
| 09-05 03:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 08-20 18:00 | Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.348 | $17.40 |
| 08-20 17:59 | Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.348 | $17.40 |
| 08-20 09:24 | Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3019000209 | $15.10 |
| 08-19 13:02 | Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4729999727 | $2.37 |
| 08-19 12:29 | Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.479 | $4.79 |
| 08-19 08:21 | Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.452 | $2.26 |
| 05-21 04:23 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |