rexzander
0x9fa39f520b0bfabb81cde4a0ab06ec49fbdcca65
- Realised P&L
- $526.48
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $108.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$500.99at 0.011Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$6.04at 0.865Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
- +$4.79at 0.659Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
- +$3.23at 0.708Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
- +$2.90at 0.155Blue wave in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:36 | Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 09-17 11:35 | Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $16.83 |
| 09-16 20:56 | Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 09-16 20:40 | Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 09-16 17:29 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 09-16 15:44 | Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 09-16 15:20 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 14:53 | Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.122 | $0.30 |
| 09-16 12:55 | Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 09-16 12:55 | Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.8333333333 | $12.50 |
| 09-16 12:55 | Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 09-16 12:52 | Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 09-16 12:22 | Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 09-16 11:34 | Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:24 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |