malonecody
0x9f9e9f125cffa51100050eb8e9ae2219f6ce24d2
- Realised P&L
- $-0.49
- Volume
- $39.19
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $6.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on September 28? · No | 0.993 | 1.000 | $2.00 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 3? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.66 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? · No | 0.993 | 1.000 | $1.44 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.37 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.03at 0.748Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$0.02at 0.982Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 23?
- +$0.01at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 20?
- +$0.01at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 20?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on March 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 15:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.99 |
| 07-02 13:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.66 |
| 06-26 21:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.43 |
| 05-16 20:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.37 |
| 04-23 19:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.9989991141 | $1.06 |
| 03-02 08:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on March 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.23 |
| 02-23 05:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 23? | BUY | 0.9819999927 | $1.34 |
| 02-20 06:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 20? | BUY | 0.9939999986 | $1.40 |
| 02-12 10:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.54 |
| 02-10 09:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.05 |
| 01-19 19:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 20? | BUY | 0.9949998048 | $1.58 |
| 01-17 18:41 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.32 |
| 01-17 16:24 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.36 |
| 01-16 13:56 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.70 |
| 01-16 13:54 | Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.94 |