0x9f99E529d01bAa55DF5360C340a180246BC0718f-1772003752212
0x9f99e529d01baa55df5360c340a180246bc0718f
- Realised P&L
- $3.73
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $4.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.014 | $2.36 | −$0.17 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 18? · No | 0.996 | 0.995 | $1.64 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.53at 0.250Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?
- +$2.60at 0.430Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
- +$2.57at 0.590Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
- +$2.08at 0.680UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$1.61at 0.640Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.015 | $2.53 |
| 09-15 22:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.64 |
| 09-10 00:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.970999991 | $2.59 |
| 09-05 06:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.19 |
| 08-28 01:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.9829997409 | $2.61 |
| 08-05 04:47 | Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.978999945 | $1.05 |
| 08-05 04:40 | Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.9799995382 | $1.74 |
| 07-28 20:58 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.9909999971 | $2.40 |
| 07-22 03:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.9869999951 | $2.44 |
| 07-09 05:39 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.9699999947 | $3.64 |
| 07-09 05:38 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.9889999943 | $1.55 |
| 06-11 19:53 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $3.2k |
| 06-11 18:18 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.2k |
| 05-27 08:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | BUY | 0.9939999318 | $1.02 |
| 05-27 08:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31? | BUY | 0.9479999934 | $3.46 |