0x9F835ACF401BA5fa40c1C1C15958DE36A4FeB17F-1735299547795
0x9f835acf401ba5fa40c1c1c15958de36a4feb17f
- Realised P&L
- $9.81
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $116.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $44.42 | +$0.22 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $27.54 | +$0.14 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21? · Yes | 0.997 | 1.000 | $23.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $21.11 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.23at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 8?
- +$0.21at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18?
- +$0.19at 0.993Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
- +$0.19at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 09:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.997 | $23.00 |
| 10-20 01:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.995 | $27.40 |
| 10-18 16:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.00 |
| 10-17 22:33 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $44.20 |
| 10-13 05:04 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $41.60 |
| 10-11 14:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.9931081091 | $26.00 |
| 10-10 01:52 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.996 | $20.00 |
| 10-07 22:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9939999867 | $39.00 |
| 10-04 10:52 | Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 00:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.997 | $30.40 |
| 10-02 15:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.00 |
| 09-27 14:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.997 | $28.00 |
| 09-26 14:29 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.996 | $47.60 |
| 09-23 07:47 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.00 |
| 09-20 19:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.00 |