0x9f82584b4cc8e30eae5663629b0f5a352ff994ac
- Realised P&L
- $-15.96
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $0.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.74at 0.703Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17?
- +$4.94at 0.473Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$2.58at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
- +$1.47at 0.478Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$1.21at 0.592Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 12:39 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.6899999744 | $1.08 |
| 05-18 14:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.30 |
| 05-18 14:58 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.32 |
| 05-05 15:09 | Will Ethena reach $1.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.21 |
| 05-05 13:11 | Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2351388168 | $1.04 |
| 05-05 13:11 | Will Ethena reach $1.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.04 |
| 05-05 13:11 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998629 | $1.05 |
| 05-05 13:09 | Will Zcash reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.57 |
| 05-03 14:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.05 |
| 05-03 14:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May? | BUY | 0.8599997452 | $1.08 |
| 05-03 13:19 | Will Zcash reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399998187 | $1.05 |
| 05-02 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5799998358 | $1.06 |
| 04-28 21:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.16 |
| 04-28 09:46 | Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.2989998445 | $0.93 |
| 04-25 15:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $1.51 |