PolyBot

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Traders

SamuelPeterson7634

0x9f663b78904df1585057d0cd67a36ac5e950ad61

Realised P&L
$921.84
Volume
$128.7k
Markets traded
174
Open portfolio
$766.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded174
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lightning vs. Bruins · Lightning0.4101.000$535.00+$315.65
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season? · No0.9801.000$107.00+$2.14
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.075$45.30$69.46
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10? · Yes0.1400.150$36.90+$2.46
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7420.140$33.06$142.79
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? · Yes0.5701.000$5.00+$2.15
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2001.000$4.00+$3.20
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5 · Under0.2600.000$0.00$168.22
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5? · No0.4200.000$0.00$42.00
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$10.50
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31? · No0.8300.000$0.00$13.28
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by December 31? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$0.03
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels · Ole Miss Rebels0.7990.000$0.00$747.07
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025) · No0.5770.000$0.00$7.50
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division? · No0.8080.000$0.00$1.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-09 23:00Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?SELL0.42$32.76
04-09 14:36Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?SELL0.31$61.38
04-08 03:16Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?BUY0.49$38.22
04-08 02:19Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?BUY0.66$130.68
04-07 22:40Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5BUY0.26$168.22
03-30 13:37Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?SELL0.77$472.01
03-30 13:36Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?SELL0.77$31.57
03-29 19:51Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?BUY0.78$510.12
03-26 07:52Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?SELL0.22$109.34
03-26 07:51Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?SELL0.21$8.82
03-25 15:56OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?SELL0.76$177.08
03-25 15:50OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?SELL0.77$341.88
03-24 05:02OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?SELL0.76$211.28
03-23 02:09OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?BUY0.75$716.25
03-22 18:33Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?BUY0.26$140.14