0x9f5da4a571e3d8901921a594d102cf192cb7ec37
0x9f5da4a571e3d8901921a594d102cf192cb7ec37
- Realised P&L
- $17.65
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $94.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.525 | $94.23 | −$74.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 15? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.13at 0.939MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$4.03at 0.970Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15?
- +$2.10at 0.983Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?
- +$1.75at 0.967Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$0.60at 0.993Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 13:29 | APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $107.54 |
| 05-26 13:28 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.978 | $167.24 |
| 05-02 01:29 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $165.01 |
| 03-31 05:15 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.939 | $155.87 |
| 03-19 07:44 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? | BUY | 0.983 | $147.45 |
| 03-17 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 18? | BUY | 0.9957266667 | $149.36 |
| 03-16 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 16? | BUY | 0.993 | $148.95 |
| 03-15 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $150.35 |
| 03-15 00:42 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 57°F or below on March 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $151.54 |