0x9f588b1469d19c9fe0afc77219031a69a2486c9f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.45
- Volume
- $36.94
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $6.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.530 | 1.000 | $2.07 | +$0.97 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.840 | $1.89 | +$0.79 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.630 | $1.08 | −$0.02 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? · No | 0.280 | 0.255 | $1.00 | −$0.10 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.265 | $0.63 | −$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.75at 0.600S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11?
- +$0.36at 0.757Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.28at 0.800US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$0.26at 0.811LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?
- +$0.23at 0.826Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:45 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2799999593 | $1.10 |
| 09-14 13:20 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999911 | $1.10 |
| 09-14 05:14 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.10 |
| 09-13 21:13 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4599998745 | $1.10 |
| 09-11 23:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.10 |
| 09-11 12:25 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 09-11 04:05 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.5899999303 | $1.10 |
| 09-10 18:43 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7499998295 | $1.10 |
| 09-10 09:50 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999851 | $1.10 |
| 09-10 01:47 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6099998946 | $1.10 |
| 09-09 13:27 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.4199999389 | $1.10 |
| 09-09 04:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.10 |
| 09-08 19:05 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.10 |
| 09-08 04:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.329999934 | $1.10 |
| 09-07 14:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5299999518 | $1.10 |