PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x9f4c5efef1a9cf18505a58f9b01b4cc59def14dd

Realised P&L
$322.87
Volume
$73.8k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$609.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0170.042$243.68+$143.69
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2190.195$177.67$22.32
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.1400.110$106.07$28.93
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0560.059$51.87+$1.87
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.055$30.40$69.10
Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prenga · Prenga0.0900.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 15:17Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0563924827$50.00
07-25 15:48Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian PrengaBUY0.0899999992$100.00
07-25 15:42Iran coup attempt by December 31?BUY0.1399999991$135.00
07-25 15:37Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.2189397909$200.00
07-25 15:36Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0170301961$100.00
07-15 17:12England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBUY0.25$100.00
07-15 17:12England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.1899999986$100.00
07-11 17:37UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)SELL0.28$84.85
07-11 15:37Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.2699999973$55.00
07-11 15:36Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBUY0.32$100.00
07-11 15:36Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.2299999986$100.00
07-11 15:36Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5BUY0.3474999979$100.00
07-11 15:33Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?BUY0.25$100.00
07-10 18:45UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.3299999978$100.00
07-10 18:44Will the fight be won by submission?BUY0.1078431363$100.00