0x9f4c5efef1a9cf18505a58f9b01b4cc59def14dd
0x9f4c5efef1a9cf18505a58f9b01b4cc59def14dd
- Realised P&L
- $534.86
- Volume
- $98.9k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $945.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.082QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
- +$1.1kat 0.045Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$587.11at 0.145Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
- +$574.75at 0.080US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$333.06at 0.134Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 18:26 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.0258254458 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 03:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0342521723 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 03:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.127426349 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 03:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.0143382023 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 11:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.0285007467 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 11:10 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 11:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.0085034014 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 11:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.0165213401 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 10:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.04188201 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 02:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.0110201511 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 02:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0405987695 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 02:46 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 02:45 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 02:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 02:26 | Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0797894834 | $50.00 |