PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9f4c5efef1a9cf18505a58f9b01b4cc59def14dd

0x9f4c5efef1a9cf18505a58f9b01b4cc59def14dd

Realised P&L
$534.86
Volume
$98.9k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$945.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0170.033$193.77+$93.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.175$159.09−$40.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.125$131.71−$68.29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2190.138$125.61−$74.39
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.105$101.25−$33.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0920.042$44.97−$55.03
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0560.047$41.67−$8.33
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0200.017$41.53−$8.47
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0800.055$34.47−$15.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.085$30.36−$19.64
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2300.115$25.00−$25.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.029$15.75−$83.75
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 18:26Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.0258254458$20.00
09-29 03:57Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 30?BUY0.0342521723$20.00
09-29 03:56Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 29?BUY0.127426349$20.00
09-29 03:55Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 29?BUY0.0143382023$20.00
09-27 11:12Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?BUY0.0285007467$50.00
09-27 11:10Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.01$20.00
09-27 11:02Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 28?BUY0.0085034014$10.00
09-27 11:01Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 28?BUY0.0165213401$100.00
09-27 10:57Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 27?BUY0.04188201$100.00
09-09 02:49Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?BUY0.0110201511$10.00
09-09 02:49Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0405987695$50.00
09-09 02:46US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.08$50.00
09-09 02:45US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999998$50.00
09-09 02:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.2299999993$50.00
09-09 02:26Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.0797894834$50.00