0x9f4b85f3a29c7932fc4a4cbab4ee77c4f2ba6b9d
0x9f4b85f3a29c7932fc4a4cbab4ee77c4f2ba6b9d
- Realised P&L
- $-510.09
- Volume
- $21.7k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $35.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.51at 0.151Will Box (BOX) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$20.83at 0.246Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
- +$14.61at 0.405Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
- +$11.97at 0.837Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$7.60at 0.748Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 18:33 | Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | BUY | 0.66 | $34.65 |
| 10-06 18:02 | Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? | SELL | 0.26 | $16.25 |
| 10-06 17:52 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? | SELL | 0.36 | $9.00 |
| 10-06 17:47 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $9.50 |
| 10-06 17:44 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? | SELL | 0.1629653333 | $12.22 |
| 09-03 00:38 | Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.69 | $11.73 |
| 09-03 00:25 | Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | SELL | 0.3291340451 | $13.87 |
| 09-03 00:19 | Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | BUY | 0.344 | $14.50 |
| 08-27 23:34 | Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the September meeting? | BUY | 0.56 | $15.00 |
| 08-26 23:34 | Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.15 | $8.25 |
| 08-26 14:02 | Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? | BUY | 0.21 | $15.00 |
| 08-25 23:14 | Will Burlington Stores (BURL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.23 | $14.95 |
| 08-25 23:05 | Will JM Smucker (SJM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.21 | $14.70 |
| 08-25 23:01 | Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.15 |
| 08-22 23:49 | Will Box (BOX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.33 |