PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

hedgevaultmainnet1

0x9f41b736a8d04891178df2495921a5a3e88b8f27

Realised P&L
$-136.5k
Volume
$5.53M
Markets traded
897
Open portfolio
$15.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded897
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.6300.635$1.9k+$15.24
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9930.995$1.5k+$2.97
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9820.989$1.1k+$7.35
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7740.780$1.1k+$9.25
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.7280.705$1.1k$34.48
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9960.996$1.1k$0.53
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9960.998$997.48+$1.50
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.8900.905$959.83+$15.65
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8800.875$732.46$4.19
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5960.469$732.33$197.50
Will Rodri join Barcelona? · No0.9930.973$668.35$14.26
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9760.983$472.68+$2.94
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No0.9160.910$455.01$2.75
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.6680.560$380.67$73.73
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.3090.254$292.72$64.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:38Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.7$280.00
08-03 09:37Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.69$3.45
08-03 09:01Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.61$18.30
08-03 08:53Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.62$93.00
08-03 08:50Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.64$16.00
08-03 08:46Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.65$3.25
08-03 08:45Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.63$15.61
08-03 08:44Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.62$24.80
08-02 17:33Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?SELL0.02$0.11
08-02 16:21Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?BUY0.66$33.00
08-02 16:20Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?BUY0.67$10.10
08-02 16:19Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.0739999659$1.90
08-02 16:18Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?SELL0.32$2.05
08-02 16:18Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?SELL0.59$2.95
08-02 16:18Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01?SELL0.958$19.45