266chronos
0x9f40f6efd21690ee11f8fe8a604d16afe9586230
- Realised P&L
- $978.76
- Volume
- $33.7k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$615.00at 0.507Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20?
- +$274.90at 0.572Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-12?
- +$179.40at 0.602Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-04?
- +$75.39at 0.500Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$10.53at 0.480Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | SELL | 0.5 | $212.50 |
| 09-22 06:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.47 | $230.30 |
| 09-21 17:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-21 17:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.37 | $286.38 |
| 09-21 16:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.3850617284 | $311.90 |
| 09-21 16:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.4 | $54.83 |
| 09-16 10:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.47 | $18.21 |
| 09-16 10:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.49 | $632.98 |
| 09-14 17:27 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-04? | SELL | 0.59 | $27.28 |
| 09-14 16:44 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.59 | $294.94 |
| 09-11 09:51 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-12? | SELL | 0.55 | $18.68 |
| 09-11 08:53 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.56 | $380.52 |
| 06-25 12:36 | Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $92.94 |
| 06-25 12:26 | Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $78.20 |
| 06-25 12:18 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.997 | $38.61 |