PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

isotope5

0x9f3a9bcdab7ae721a12cf68d046a550fda34a922

Realised P&L
$-14.89
Volume
$328.63
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$1.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2? · Yes0.3100.335$1.08+$0.08
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 23-29? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00−$5.00
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? · No0.0140.000$0.00−$1.00
Netanyahu out by April 30? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 06:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
03-25 08:50Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 23-29?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
03-25 08:49Netanyahu out by April 30?BUY0.0370000014$1.00
01-12 02:04Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
12-16 07:38Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?BUY0.0140000003$1.00
12-16 07:32Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?SELL0.61$2.44
11-26 05:49Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.16$5.00
11-26 05:49Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?BUY0.0117647059$1.00
11-04 12:13Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.082999986$5.00
11-03 07:00Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
10-31 09:37Lakers vs. GrizzliesBUY0.4499999625$3.00
10-31 09:37Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Maya JointBUY0.1499998875$1.00
10-31 09:32Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?BUY0.5$2.00
10-23 04:02Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
10-21 02:37Warriors vs. LakersBUY0.4599997608$1.00