isotope5
0x9f3a9bcdab7ae721a12cf68d046a550fda34a922
- Realised P&L
- $-14.89
- Volume
- $328.63
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $1.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.335 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 23-29? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? · No | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.67at 0.450Lakers vs. Grizzlies
- +$0.44at 0.500Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$-1.00at 0.150Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Maya Joint
- +$-1.00at 0.460Warriors vs. Lakers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 08:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 23-29? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 08:49 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BUY | 0.0370000014 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 02:04 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 12-16 07:38 | Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | BUY | 0.0140000003 | $1.00 |
| 12-16 07:32 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.61 | $2.44 |
| 11-26 05:49 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 11-26 05:49 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | BUY | 0.0117647059 | $1.00 |
| 11-04 12:13 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.082999986 | $5.00 |
| 11-03 07:00 | Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 09:37 | Lakers vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.4499999625 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 09:37 | Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Maya Joint | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 09:32 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 10-23 04:02 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 02:37 | Warriors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |