PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x9f3842b8365e9178f5c67a2da8615d6ccb09b04e

0x9f3842b8365e9178f5c67a2da8615d6ccb09b04e

Realised P&L
$4.31
Volume
$563.11
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$275.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 1? · No0.8311.000$23.89+$4.02
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 2? · No0.8090.860$15.84+$0.93
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 1? · Yes0.3601.000$13.38+$8.56
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2? · Yes0.4450.585$13.07+$3.13
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on November 2? · No0.8840.750$12.62−$2.26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 1? · Yes0.4101.000$12.12+$7.15
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2? · Yes0.6230.665$10.52+$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 1? · No0.5700.980$8.54+$3.57
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1? · Yes0.4290.997$8.54+$4.86
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2? · No0.7410.630$8.45−$1.49
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2? · No0.8050.635$7.79−$2.08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1? · No0.6921.000$7.18+$2.21
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1? · No0.7000.998$7.09+$2.12
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1? · No0.7501.000$6.57+$1.64
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 2? · Yes0.3900.515$6.56+$1.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:09Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.6299999793$4.88
11-01 22:01Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?BUY0.5099999874$4.86
11-01 20:39Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?SELL0.997$1.79
11-01 20:00Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 2?BUY0.8599999826$4.94
11-01 19:30Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?SELL0.997$3.32
11-01 19:02Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 2?BUY0.6999999715$4.91
11-01 18:25Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?SELL0.997$8.22
11-01 16:43Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.7799999778$4.93
11-01 16:42Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 3?BUY0.6599999919$4.90
11-01 14:57Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 1?SELL0.999$0.15
11-01 14:40Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 1?SELL0.999$0.31
11-01 11:32Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2?BUY0.6199999822$4.89
11-01 09:40Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 1?SELL0.999$1.88
11-01 09:40Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2?BUY0.5899999601$4.88
11-01 09:39Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 1?SELL0.999$3.82