gettingdrained
0x9f300e1b1b086290fa04c4c8f40cb6a10e95bb5a
- Realised P&L
- $360.80
- Volume
- $77.8k
- Markets traded
- 521
- Open portfolio
- $737.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded521
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Damn" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? · No | 0.975 | 0.985 | $337.15 | +$3.34 |
| Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? · Yes | 0.988 | 0.640 | $295.07 | −$160.36 |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.875 | $94.77 | −$11.82 |
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $10.65 | +$0.05 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.34 |
| Will the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.75 |
| Will Lacy or Marlon die to a skeleton? · No | 0.545 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.51at 0.450Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner
- +$16.97at 0.966Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in August?
- +$16.52at 0.968Will Trump say "America" or "American" 6+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?
- +$15.19at 0.950Will J.D. Vance say "Biden Administration" 4+ times in Ohio on Thursday?
- +$14.41at 0.839Will Trump say "Switzerland" this week? (January 18)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 00:53 | Will Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | SELL | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 10-06 00:52 | Will Trump say "Egg" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | SELL | 0.999 | $179.59 |
| 10-06 00:48 | Will Trump say "Damn" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 10-06 00:36 | Will Trump say "Tractor" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-06 00:28 | Will Trump say "Egg" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | BUY | 0.99 | $177.97 |
| 10-06 00:26 | Will Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.79 |
| 10-06 00:26 | Will Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | BUY | 0.98 | $134.50 |
| 10-06 00:15 | Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | BUY | 0.99 | $60.43 |
| 10-06 00:07 | Will Trump say "Tractor" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 10-04 01:17 | Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.99 | $33.76 |
| 10-04 00:36 | Will Trump say "Teleprompter" in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $178.41 |
| 10-04 00:33 | Will Trump say "Milk" in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $116.31 |
| 10-03 23:53 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.86 |
| 10-03 00:44 | Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama? | BUY | 0.99 | $48.51 |
| 10-03 00:43 | Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama? | BUY | 0.9703823992 | $18.52 |