0x9F2fCD73f7AEb9AC62a27E16a945cAe3EABa7dAd-1774773508404
0x9f2fcd73f7aeb9ac62a27e16a945cae3eaba7dad
- Realised P&L
- $-41.63
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $8.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.140 | $7.19 | −$2.81 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.475 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.48at 0.341Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
- +$-2.00at 0.019Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
- +$-5.00at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
- +$-5.00at 0.580Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 02:59 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 06:49 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.0984995946 | $3.00 |
| 04-15 05:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $4.45 |
| 04-15 05:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $4.92 |
| 04-15 05:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $4.62 |
| 04-15 05:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $1.48 |
| 04-15 05:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $0.89 |
| 04-15 05:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $0.96 |
| 04-15 05:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $1.90 |
| 04-15 05:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.379999962 | $2.73 |
| 04-15 05:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $1.87 |
| 04-11 14:43 | Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $4.70 |
| 03-31 23:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.86 |
| 03-31 15:51 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1946396247 | $10.00 |