hawkai324
0x9f2b2f3069150c11b0fe400aebd413ac86ec6e6e
- Realised P&L
- $0.33
- Volume
- $59.64
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $2.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.315 | $1.57 | −$1.23 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.408 | 0.420 | $1.24 | +$0.04 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.05 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.87at 0.459Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$2.71at 0.457Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?
- +$1.62at 0.602Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?
- +$1.34at 0.547Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.23at 0.580Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-15 14:29 | Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999877 | $2.40 |
| 08-12 08:35 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.407999864 | $1.20 |
| 08-03 06:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 07-29 03:56 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-14 03:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 07-10 06:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.5199998905 | $1.90 |
| 06-24 06:30 | Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.359999844 | $1.20 |
| 06-08 04:55 | Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.539999865 | $1.60 |
| 06-03 03:56 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999522 | $1.70 |
| 05-20 06:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | BUY | 0.3799998923 | $1.20 |
| 05-13 08:47 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.60 |
| 04-29 06:52 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 04-22 03:49 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 04-14 06:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.73 |