PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hawkai324

0x9f2b2f3069150c11b0fe400aebd413ac86ec6e6e

Realised P&L
$0.33
Volume
$59.64
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$2.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · Yes0.5600.315$1.57$1.23
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.4080.420$1.24+$0.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? · No0.4900.000$0.00$1.80
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.3600.000$0.00$1.20
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$1.90
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$3.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 06:00Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?BUY0.56$2.80
08-15 14:29Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?BUY0.5899999877$2.40
08-12 08:35Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.407999864$1.20
08-03 06:37Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?BUY0.44$2.20
07-29 03:56Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.50
07-14 03:39Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?BUY0.61$3.05
07-10 06:13Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.5199998905$1.90
06-24 06:30Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.359999844$1.20
06-08 04:55Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.539999865$1.60
06-03 03:56Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5799999522$1.70
05-20 06:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?BUY0.3799998923$1.20
05-13 08:47Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.4$1.60
04-29 06:52Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.5199999896$2.00
04-22 03:49Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.5$2.50
04-14 06:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?BUY0.48$1.73