PolyBot

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Traders

0xe64B48d6bdD0Cc36857a943acbAa85b4d6285A0

0x9f1b8256f571e335a4bbcb309fd707d29b7b7509

Realised P&L
$-2.88
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$4.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21? · Yes0.0801.000$1.09+$1.00
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.0900.095$0.95+$0.05
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1710.175$0.88+$0.02
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay? · Yes0.1500.060$0.30$0.45
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 11 and September 15, 2026? · Yes0.0020.005$0.18+$0.11
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.0600.120$0.18+$0.09
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 25? · Yes0.1000.029$0.15$0.35
Will AfD win 20-23 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0010.005$0.10+$0.08
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0130.002$0.07$0.37
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0040.004$0.05$0.01
Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0040.007$0.04+$0.01
Will AfD win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0020.005$0.03+$0.02
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on September 22? · Yes0.0010.005$0.03+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 22? · Yes0.0020.001$0.02$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 21? · Yes0.1000.003$0.01$0.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 03:17Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?BUY0.15$0.75
09-21 02:02Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 20?BUY0.001$1.00
09-21 01:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.99$1.00