small-shrimp
0x9f17e9e678d003040d8f2980b73ac047b87811ee
- Realised P&L
- $-335.30
- Volume
- $54.2k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $164.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)17.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.468 | 0.165 | $156.38 | −$287.23 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No | 0.692 | 0.835 | $5.88 | +$1.01 |
| Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.151 | $2.67 | −$6.13 |
| Becca Good charged by March 31? · Yes | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.63at 0.760Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 3?
- +$0.24at 0.500Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?
- +$0.18at 0.850Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?
- +$0.10at 0.950Nothing Ever Happens: November
- +$0.04at 0.959Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-18 16:15 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $18.70 |
| 01-18 16:13 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.42 | $23.31 |
| 01-18 16:06 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $28.84 |
| 01-18 16:02 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $28.93 |
| 01-18 16:01 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $20.00 |
| 01-18 16:00 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.41 | $16.40 |
| 01-18 16:00 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.41 | $22.84 |
| 01-18 12:56 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.41 | $29.67 |
| 01-18 12:55 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.41 | $17.67 |
| 01-18 12:55 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.41 | $21.90 |
| 01-18 12:55 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.41 | $31.50 |
| 01-18 12:54 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.42 | $25.49 |
| 01-18 12:31 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.54 | $39.95 |
| 01-18 12:13 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.55 | $35.48 |
| 01-18 12:12 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.56 | $36.06 |