tommyraz
0x9f128322dcbc1ae5498a13e1222996b406712640
- Realised P&L
- $-551.20
- Volume
- $48.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,485
- Open portfolio
- $0.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,485
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.80at 0.498Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?
- +$31.62at 0.706US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
- +$29.60at 0.576Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$29.55at 0.362Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$29.00at 0.033Will Trump say "Fat" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 00:46 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.38 |
| 08-10 06:08 | Will Hims say "Platform" 10+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.021703294 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 18:21 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.12 |
| 08-06 20:48 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 20:48 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 20:47 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $6.86 |
| 08-05 19:52 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August? | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 04:11 | Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.85 |
| 08-05 01:34 | Will "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 01:33 | Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.82 |
| 08-04 14:47 | Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.5599999253 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 14:47 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $3.04 |
| 07-31 16:05 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $8.00 |
| 07-30 21:46 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $6.08 |
| 07-30 19:25 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |