0x9F0CcE072d75c6CdD97db6F286a527F1dd45749B-1766436148508
0x9f0cce072d75c6cdd97db6f286a527f1dd45749b
- Realised P&L
- $30.4k
- Volume
- $335.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $7.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.051 | $5.1k | −$1.2k |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.026 | $1.4k | −$194.69 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.813 | 0.839 | $1.0k | +$31.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.8kat 0.533EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$15.0kat 0.473Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$1.5kat 0.907Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
- +$548.06at 0.135EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$0.56at 0.998Squid FDV above $30M one day after launch
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 12:58 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.064296275 | $675.70 |
| 09-16 06:09 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.813052062 | $1.0k |
| 09-16 06:09 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.063325868 | $500.00 |
| 09-09 07:59 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.072313354 | $3.0k |
| 09-08 20:39 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.034 | $21.63 |
| 09-08 20:31 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0501758716 | $48.24 |
| 08-25 20:07 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0284232544 | $953.56 |
| 08-25 19:50 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0279999995 | $58.29 |
| 08-17 10:45 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.0057430634 | $64.53 |
| 08-15 10:45 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0762488278 | $60.98 |
| 08-15 10:45 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0479129594 | $500.00 |
| 08-04 11:48 | Squid FDV above $30M one day after launch | BUY | 0.998 | $299.00 |
| 05-14 09:52 | Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7 | $232.88 |
| 04-06 15:05 | Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3702905802 | $1000.00 |
| 04-02 04:38 | Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2524007515 | $500.00 |