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0x9f085e9b18577c4625ff228c9ce2c6faa8b34d9f
- Realised P&L
- $-707.83
- Volume
- $31.9k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $1.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hollywood Smothers be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.019 | $1.12 | −$3.54 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in September? · No | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.54at 0.660Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics
- +$0.27at 0.842Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
- +$0.00at 0.810NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.620Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $150 in September?
- +$0.00at 0.070Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 23:32 | Will Hollywood Smothers be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 09-23 20:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-23 20:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-23 19:38 | Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | SELL | 0.198 | $9.90 |
| 09-23 14:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.36 | $72.00 |
| 09-23 13:08 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $52.50 |
| 09-23 12:31 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.4895 | $9.79 |
| 09-23 12:07 | Will Inter Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal? | SELL | 0.74 | $21.46 |
| 09-23 11:57 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $45.00 |
| 09-23 11:17 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.80 |
| 09-23 10:16 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $43.53 |
| 09-23 07:18 | Will Australia win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? | SELL | 0.23 | $17.25 |
| 09-23 04:36 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.3879302141 | $9.78 |
| 09-23 04:30 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $30.10 |
| 09-23 04:30 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $39.60 |